btc15-momentum-luna

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG292100-00, closing 01:00 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 44 → 46 → 43 → 54 → 66, a clear +22-point directional move over the last five observations. The YES book showed a 67¢ ask with ample displayed depth; the corresponding ask was within the 30–80¢ entry range. I bought 5 YES contracts using a 71¢ reservation limit, filling all 5 at 67¢ with an 8¢ fee.

No resting orders remain. The position should be held to settlement under the strategy. Next run should check whether this market settled and review the portfolio before considering any new entry.

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG292045-45, closing 00:45 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 43 → 63 → 45 → 51 → 46. Although the net change over five observations was +3 points, the path was highly volatile and did not show a clear directional 5-point momentum move. The book was consistent with the market quote: YES bid/ask 46/48, with substantial displayed depth; however, neither YES nor NO met the strategy’s clear-momentum entry condition.

I made no trade. No positions or resting orders remain. Next run should inspect the then-current KXBTC15M market, confirm sufficient time remains, and require a clean directional history rather than reacting to this choppy sequence.

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG292030-30, closing 00:30 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 67 → 72 → 84 → 80 → 84: a net rise of 12 points over the last five minutes, satisfying the momentum threshold, but the current order book is crossed/inconsistent with the market quote (market shows 76/77 while displayed levels show bids through 79 and asks starting at 80). The payable YES ask from the market quote is 77¢, within the allowed range, but the anomalous book makes execution interpretation unreliable. I made no trade rather than enter on potentially stale or inconsistent liquidity.

No positions or resting orders remain. Next run should inspect the newly current 15-minute market and verify quote/book consistency before trading.

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG292015-15, closing 00:15 UTC with roughly 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 43 → 37 → 49 → 42 → 38. Although volatile, the recent sequence is down 11 points from 49 and lacks a consistent directional move over the last 3–5 minutes. The YES ask was 39¢ with substantial displayed depth; buying NO would require using the YES bid, equivalent to about 62¢. Since there was no clear momentum signal, I made no trade.

No positions or resting orders remain. Next run should inspect the newly current 15-minute market and repeat the momentum check.

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG292000-00, closing 00:00 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 55 → 59 → 58 → 64 → 67, showing a clear upward move of 9 points over the recent window. The YES ask was 62¢, within the required 30–80¢ range, with substantial displayed liquidity.

Bought 5 YES contracts using a 71¢ limit; all filled at 62¢, with a 9¢ fee. No resting orders remain. Position should be held to settlement under the strategy. Next run should check settlement/position status first and avoid a new entry while this position is held.

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG291945-45, closing 23:45 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 58 → 48 → 49 → 51 → 38. The latest move was a clear 13-point decline, qualifying for the downside momentum signal. YES ask was 38¢, so the corresponding NO ask was 62¢, within the 30–80¢ range. The order book had sufficient liquidity.

Bought 5 NO contracts with a 66¢ limit; all filled at 62¢, with a 9¢ fee. No resting orders remain. Position should be held to settlement under the strategy. Next run should check settlement/position status first and avoid any new entry while this position is held.

Run complete. Reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG291930-30, closing 23:30 UTC; approximately 10 minutes remained.

YES minute history was 38 → 47 → 59 → 53 → 55. Although there was a sharp earlier rise, the latest 2-minute movement was downward and the recent sequence did not provide a clean qualifying directional signal under the 5-point momentum rule. The YES ask was 58¢, within the allowed range, with substantial depth, but the signal was ambiguous.

No trade made. No positions or resting orders. Cash remains 5,444¢ and realized P&L remains −4,556¢. Next run should check the next current KXBTC15M period and require a clearer recent move before entering.

Run complete — reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG291915-15, closing 23:15 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 54 → 62 → 64 → 67 → 51, a 16-point decline on the latest move and well beyond the 5-point NO momentum threshold. The YES bid was 54¢, implying a 46¢ NO ask; displayed liquidity supported the trade.

Bought 5 NO contracts with a 53¢ reservation limit; all filled at 46¢ each, with a 9¢ fee. No resting orders remain. Hold to settlement. Next run should check settlement/result and portfolio state before reviewing the next current period.

Run complete — reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG291900-00, closing 23:00 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history was 60 → 63 → 67 → 62 → 56, a 7-point decline over the last four observations, qualifying for a NO momentum entry. The YES bid was 68¢, implying a NO ask of 32¢; the order book showed the executable NO level at 33¢, within the 30–80¢ range.

Bought 5 NO contracts, using a 36¢ reservation limit; all filled at 33¢ each, with an 8¢ fee. No resting orders remain. Hold to settlement. Next run should check settlement/result and portfolio state before reviewing the next current period.

Run complete — reviewed KXBTC15M-26AUG291845-45, closing 22:45 UTC with about 10 minutes remaining.

YES minute history: 50 → 57 → 55 → 54 → 48. This is a net 9-point downward move over the observed window, qualifying for a NO momentum entry. The YES book showed bids at 56¢ and the corresponding NO buy ask was 44¢, within the 30–80¢ range.

Bought the required 5 NO contracts, filled at 44¢ each, with 9¢ total fee. No resting orders remain. Position should be held to settlement; next run should check settlement/result and portfolio state.