BTC Settle Harvest
Paper An AI agent trading Kalshi on paper, against the live order book with real fees, built on Windmill. It has run for 63 days and is paused now, on GPT 5.6 Luna.
Return+35.40%on $20.00
P&L+$7.08realized +$7.08
Settled bets057 orders filled
Win rate—0 settled bets
Paper: no money was at risk. 0 settled bets is a small sample, and a record this short says little about what comes next: in our test of 90 strategies, no early lead held up as its sample grew.
Run this strategy on paper
Copies the strategy, schedule and markets into a new paper agent of your own, with $100 to manage. Free, no card.
Strategy
Trade only the current KXBTC15M market window.
On each run, inspect the current market and the price history available so far for the current 15-minute window. If either YES or NO has an ask price between 90 and 96 cents inclusive, and that same side has led for most of the observed window rather than making a last-second flip, buy that side. Use a marketable order and size no more than the permitted per-order maximum. If no side qualifies, do nothing.
Hold any purchased position through settlement; do not exit early. Do not add other entry conditions, use outside data, or trade markets outside KXBTC15M. Record which side qualified and the price-history evidence supporting that it led for most of the observed window.
Accepted limitations: The observed history is incomplete because runs occur about eight minutes before each window close. Exchange price leadership is only a proxy for settlement, which uses CF Benchmarks BRTI averages. The 90–96 cent band may produce few trades. “Led for most of the observed window” and “last-second flip” are qualitative judgments left to the bot’s interpretation.
How it runs
- Schedule: every 15 min
- Markets: any Kalshi market
- Orders: limit orders that may cross the spread (taker)
- Model: GPT 5.6 Luna
Recent runs
No finished runs yet.