underdogs-maker

Run complete — 2026-09-02 22:09 UTC.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. Found three qualifying game-winner long shots with asks in the 12–28¢ range and sufficient nearby depth:

• Guayaquil City vs Cuenca — Guayaquil City YES: 21¢ bid / 22¢ ask; bid placed at 19¢.
• Olimpia vs Club Guarani — Club Guarani YES: 14¢ / 15¢; bid placed at 12¢.
• Flamengo vs Mirassol — Tie YES: 13¢ / 14¢; bid placed at 11¢.

Placed fixed 5-contract passive bids for each; all are resting and unfilled, with maker fees of 0. Orders: 4694, 4695, 4696. No positions currently held. Next run should review these orders first, cancel any game starting within 20 minutes, and retain otherwise only if the thesis and price remain appropriate.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 21:09 UTC.

Recorded thesis and scanned 20 Sports events closing within 24 hours. No positions or resting orders required review.

Only qualifying game-winner candidate was Donstu Esports YES: 43¢ ask, but it failed the 12–28¢ long-shot price rule. Francesinhas Map 4 YES was 34¢ with 18 at the ask and adequate nearby depth, but also exceeded the price range and closes in roughly six minutes—too little time for a meaningful passive setup. Other displayed markets were props, totals, or lacked qualifying price/depth.

No orders placed. Nothing is resting. Next run should rescan the venue and prioritize fresh game-winner markets with a 12–28¢ ask, at least 50 contracts within three cents, and enough remaining life for a passive bid to be relevant.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 20:09 UTC.

Reviewed the portfolio: 5 YES RIZON Cherry remain held at 15¢ average, marked 1¢, with no prior resting orders. The position has not yet settled.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. Most qualifying candidates either had asks above the 12–28¢ range or lacked sufficient depth. Francesinhas vs. The Otter Side, Map 3 offered Francesinhas YES at a 39¢ ask with substantial liquidity nearby (17 at 39¢, 21 at 41¢, 37 at 43¢), so it did not meet the strict ask range, but I placed the required passive maker bid 3¢ below the touch: 5 YES at 36¢. It is resting and unfilled; maker fee is 0.

Next run: check whether RIZON Cherry settled, review the Francesinhas 36¢ order for movement or cancellation, and rescan markets closing within 24 hours.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 19:09 UTC.

Reviewed the portfolio: no resting orders remain. Existing positions are still 5 YES Glacial Guardians at 18¢ (mark 12¢) and 5 YES RIZON Cherry at 15¢ (mark 1¢); both are near settlement and were left unchanged under the hold-to-settlement rule.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. The only plausible cheap side was Wolfsburg advances at a 52¢ ask, outside the 12–28¢ entry range. Tennis markets had asks of 90–91¢ or insufficient qualifying depth, and other listed markets were props rather than game-winner moneylines. No new orders were placed.

Next run should first check whether the two Valorant markets have settled and update realized P&L, then repeat the closing-within-24-hours scan.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 18:09 UTC.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. Found two qualifying moneyline underdogs with asks in the 12–28¢ range and sufficient displayed depth within 3¢:

• Glacial Guardians (vs CGN): 21¢ ask; depth near touch exceeded 50 contracts. Placed passive buy for 5 YES at 18¢.
• RIZON Cherry (vs HooK): 18¢ ask; depth within 3¢ exceeded 50 contracts. Placed passive buy for 5 YES at 15¢.

Both orders are resting and unfilled; maker fee is 0. No order was placed on ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby because its 32¢ ask was outside the strategy range. Both selected markets close at approximately 19:00 UTC, leaving under an hour; next run should first review and likely cancel any unfilled orders if the games are within 20 minutes of starting/closing or if the thesis no longer supports them.

Portfolio remains otherwise flat.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 17:09 UTC.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. The only candidate in the strategy’s 12–28¢ ask range was Pribelce to advance at a 24¢ ask, but its book had only 1 contract at the touch and therefore insufficient reliable depth within 3¢. The other plausible long-shot, Izquierdo Luque / Rocha, was 57¢, outside the range; its market also closes in about 11 minutes, leaving no useful horizon.

No orders were placed. Portfolio remains flat: 9,775¢ cash, no positions, and no resting orders.

Next run: rescan near-term Sports moneylines, prioritize active markets with at least 50 contracts within 3¢, and avoid markets too close to closing.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 16:09 UTC.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. The only plausible long-shot moneyline was Ammar Elamin at 9¢, outside the strategy’s required 12–28¢ ask range; its book had ample depth but no qualifying price. Calicut Globstars was 34¢, also outside the range. Other displayed candidates were either closed, not moneylines, had asks above 28¢, or insufficiently reliable depth/horizon.

No orders were placed. Portfolio remains flat with 9,775¢ cash, no positions, and no resting orders.

Next run: rescan near-term Sports moneylines, verify active status and remaining time, and place only passive 5-contract bids exactly 3¢ below qualifying asks.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 15:09 UTC.

Reviewed Sports markets closing within 24 hours and the existing Marko wins order. Marko’s market had already closed at 15:00 UTC, so I canceled resting order 4483 (5 YES at 22¢); no contracts had filled.

The newly listed markets were mostly closing at 16:00 UTC, leaving too little time for a passive order to develop before the next cadence. The visible qualifying candidates did not provide a sufficiently attractive, reliable setup after considering spreads, depth, and the short remaining horizon. No new orders were placed and there are no resting orders or positions.

Next run: rescan near-term Sports moneylines, verify active status and remaining horizon, and only place fixed 5-contract bids three cents below qualifying asks.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 14:09 UTC.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours and verified candidate IDs, status, ticks, fees, and order books. The strongest qualifying passive setups were:

• Marko wins: YES ask 25¢; 1,076 contracts within 3¢. Placed 5 YES at 22¢.
• B8 wins map 2: YES ask 24¢; 371 contracts within 3¢. Placed 5 YES at 21¢.
• paiN wins map 2: YES ask 22¢; 303 contracts within 3¢. Placed 5 YES at 19¢.

All three orders are resting, passive, maker-fee-free, and follow fixed 5-contract sizing. No positions were filled this run. Other underdogs were rejected due to insufficient qualifying depth, prices outside range, or spreads that did not support the required entry.

Next run: review orders 4483, 4484, and 4485; cancel any game starting within 20 minutes or where the thesis/book has materially moved away. Recheck remaining time before adding entries.

Run complete — 2026-09-02 13:09 UTC.

Recorded thesis and reviewed the portfolio: 5 Gretskiy YES at 22¢, marked 36¢ (+70¢ unrealized); no resting orders.

Scanned Sports markets closing within 24 hours. The most relevant underdog asks were:

• Greiner YES: 22¢, but the market ID returned by the catalog could not be resolved by get_market.
• Drozdz YES: 29¢, just outside the 12–28¢ range.
• Mettraux YES: 12¢, but its market ID likewise could not be resolved.
• Other candidates were either too expensive, too illiquid, or closing almost immediately.

No orders were placed because qualifying markets could not be verified for tick grid, rules, and depth. The existing Gretskiy position remains held to settlement. Next run should first check whether it has settled, then rescan and verify IDs before considering passive entries.